Iran-Israel Conflict: Benjamin Netanyahu aims to reduce the rule of Ayatollah; Can he bring down the Islamic Republic?

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said in a video statement after more than 200 military and nuclear sites in Iran on Friday, “It is time for Iranian people to unite their flags and their historical heritage, standing for your freedom from evil and oppressive rule,” more than 200 military and atom sites of Israel have been standing for your freedom and a video statement in a video statement in a video statement in a video statement in a video statement after Izrael’s 200 military and atom sites in a video Said.Unannounced strikes were clearly to disrupt Tehran’s nuclear work and extend the time taken to Iran in producing nuclear weapons.However, the number of sites hits, the specific nature of the goals, and the comments of Israeli leaders suggest that there may be a broad objective: weakening or even removing Iran’s ruling rule.Netanyahu said, “As we achieve our purpose, we are also clearing the way for you to achieve your freedom,” Netanyahu hit the goals in Iran, referring to the Israeli attacks, killing many top military commanders and nuclear scientists, including nuclear sites.The attacks in early Friday moved beyond nuclear plants and missile sites. He also targeted senior members of Iran’s military and nuclear experts – according to a report by Reuters, is designed to harm Iran’s image internal and to damage among its colleagues in the region. These are tasks that can affect the stability of Iran’s leadership.There is already important dissatisfaction among many people in Iran due to economic conflicts, lack of independent expression and issues related to women and minority rights.In this situation, Netanyahu may be hoping that broader air strikes will create unrest within the country that can eventually bring down the Islamic Republic.Some officials in Israel and the United States see the nuclear program as the main security concern. From that point of view, Iran should be offered encouragement: if it stops chasing nuclear weapons and eliminates its support for armed groups, it can be lifted and restored in the global system.Others believe that the real issue is the continuous existence of the Islamic Republic. He argues that it is unlikely to change its regional behavior under Iran’s leadership and is working not to stop Israel, but to destroy it. From this point of view, diplomatic talks only help Iran to buy time. A nuclear program seen as illegal covers to maintain sanctions, which they hope will eventually weaken a regime that they consider beyond repair.There is no general basis between these two posts. And now, more clearly than before, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu appears in another group. The recent strike was not mainly on nuclear devices but on the top military commanders of the Islamic Republic. The target seems to, not only to set Iran’s nuclear efforts back – but to challenge the hold of the regime on power, Jeffrey Lewis, director of the East Asia Non -Program Program at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies, wrote in an article in foreign policy.

Trying to shake the government

Israel may believe that recent attacks and murders can destabilize the Iranian government and create an opportunity for a public rebellion. This is the same as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. But this approach is risky. Even with damage caused by the recent attack of Israel, there is long enmity towards Israel-only by the leadership of Iran, but also mostly from the Shia population. This makes it uncertain whether public anger can bring down a well -established religious government alone with strong security forces. There is no indication that a series of such incidents will also begin. And even if this happens, there is no clarity on which direction it will take, a BBC report said. The power in Iran is mostly with those who control the army and the economy. Most of this power rests with fundamentalists in Islamic revolutionary guard corps (IRGC) and other unpublished groups. These groups do not need to be coup – they already have authority. And they could choose Iran to create more conflicts in response to the attacks. Another possible result can be the collapse of the current government, followed by instability in Iran. With a population of about 90 million, any disturbance in Iran will affect many countries of the Middle East. If Israel is able to remove the Islamic leadership in Tehran, the attack will be seen as successful. But if the leadership lives in place – and history shows that air strikes rarely bring a change of governance – then Iran can still keep some part of its nuclear program, write Jeffrey Lewis. Israel’s National Security Advisor has already said that Iran can still keep parts of its nuclear capacity. Then what happens? Israel is a possibility that Iran may agree to an agreement to quit his nuclear plans with US President Donald Trump. But another possibility is that Iran can follow the way to North Korea – except for the nuclear non -proliferation treaty and eventually developing nuclear weapons. In that case, it is unlikely that Russia or China will support new sanctions. They cannot already implement people. Russia is buying Iranian drones, and China imports Iranian oil. Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei stopped the country’s nuclear weapon program in 2003 – and why he put that policy – not fully known. Different views have come within Iran: some want nuclear weapons, while others have not done it. So far, people opposing the bomb are able to influence the policy. But after this recent strike, these discussions will change. These decisions will also include new persons. People will think of those who are no longer there and ask if Israel would have acted in this way if Iran had already nuclear weapons – or if Israel did not have them. If the Iranian government does not fall, Israel may feel the need to carry out more attacks in the future. Even if this strike has severely disrupted Iran’s nuclear efforts, Iran can resume the program.“In the ideal world, there would be no question about a change of Israel regime,” Sima Shine, a former chief Mossad analyst and now a researcher from Israel’s Institute for National Security Studies, was called by the Reuters of the news agency. If Israel is successful in removing the leadership of Iran, there is no guarantee that the successor that emerges in search of conflict with Israel will not be even more rigid.“Many people in Israel have insisted that the Middle East US Deputy National Intelligence Officer Jonathan Panikoff said as the Middle East Deputy National Intelligence Officer Jonathan Panikoff,” Many people in Israel stressed that the rule in Iran will promote a new and better day – nothing can be worse than the current democratic rule. ” “But history tells us that it can always be worse.”